Avalon, an industrialized country, has recorded a significant growth in per capita annual income during the past five years. Th
e unemployment rate has declined considerably during this period, while inflation has remained more or less stable. Joshua Thompson, a health researcher, feels that the health conditions in Avalon will deteriorate during the next few years. Meanwhile, his colleague, Kate Pattinson, feels that despite increased investments in health research, the average life-span of the people in Avalon will not increase in the near future. Which of the following, if true, would strengthen Joshua's belief?