Using the Time Series Data for the US Nuclear Electric Power Production, calculate the exponential smoothing forecasts for 2005
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Answer:
C
Step-by-step explanation:
Solution:-
- The Alternate series test is applicable for alternating series with has terms summed and subtracted alternatively and takes the form of:
∑ an
Were,
- Where, { bn } > 0 for all n. Then if the following conditions are met:
1. Lim ( n -> ∞ ) { b_n } = 0
2. b ( n + 1 ) < bn .... bn is a decreasing function.
Conclusion:- The series { ∑ an } is convergent.
- The following series is given as follows:
∑
Where,
1 . We will first test whether the sequence { bn } is decreasing or not. Hence,
We see that for n = 1 , 2 , 3 ... 6 the sequence { b_n } is decreasing; however, for n ≥ 7 the series increases. The condition is not met for all values of ( n ). Hence, the Alternating series test conditions are not satisfied.
We will now apply the root test that states that a series given in the following format:
∑ an
- The limit of the following sequence { an } is a constant ( C ).
1. C < 1 , The series converges
2.C > 1 , The series diverges
3. C = 1 , test is inconclusive
- We will compute the limit specified by the test as follows:
- Here, the value of C = +∞ > 1. As per the Root test limit conditions we see that the series { ∑ an } diverges.
Note: Failing the conditions of Alternating Series test does not necessarily means the series diverges. As the test only implies the conditions of "convergence" and is quiet of about "divergence". Hence, we usually resort to other tests like { Ratio, Root or p-series tests for the complete picture }.