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Rus_ich [418]
3 years ago
6

Suppose ​% of all . ​(a) What is the probability that two in a​ row? ​(b) What is the probability that in a​ row? ​(c) When even

ts are​ independent, their complements are independent as well. Use this result to determine the probability that in a​ row, but in a row. ​(a) The probability that two in a row is . 1156. ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.) ​(b) The probability that in a row is . 0393. ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.) ​(c) The probability that in a​ row, but in a row is
Mathematics
1 answer:
Pachacha [2.7K]3 years ago
5 0

Complete Question:

Suppose George wins 34​% of all chess games. ​

(a) What is the probability that George wins two chess games in a​ row?

​(b) What is the probability that George wins three chess games in a​ row? ​

(c) When events are​ independent, their complements are independent as well. Use this result to determine the probability that George wins three chess games in a​ row, but does not win four in a row.

Answer:

(a) Probability = 0.1156

(b) Probability = 0.0393

(c) Probability = 0.0259

Step-by-step explanation:

Represent Win with W

So, we have:

W = 34\%

Solving (a): Winning two in a row;

This is represented by WW and is calculated as thus:

Probability = W * W

Probability = 34\% * 34\%

Probability = 0.1156

Solving (b): Winning three in a row;

This is represented by WWW and is calculated as thus:

Probability = W * W * W

Probability = 34\% * 34\% * 34\%

Probability = 0.039304

Probability = 0.0393 (Approximated)

Solving (c): Wins three in a row but lost the fourth

Represent Losing with L

L is calculated as:

L = 1 - W ---- Complement of probability

L = 1 - 34\%

L = 66\%

This probability is represented by WWWL and is calculated as thus:

Probability = 34\% *34\% *34\% *66\%

Probability = 0.02594064

Probability = 0.0259 (Approximated)

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Inequalities help us to compare two unequal expressions. Also, it helps us to compare the non-equal expressions so that an equation can be formed. It is mostly denoted by the symbol <, >, ≤, and ≥.

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Step-by-step explanation:

For each game, there are only two possible outcomes. Either team A wins, or team A loses. Games are played independently. This means that we use the binomial probability distribution to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

In which C_{n,x} is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

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And p is the probability of X happening.

We also need to know a small concept of independent events.

Independent events:

If two events, A and B, are independent, we have that:

P(A \cap B) = P(A)*P(B)

What is the probability that the series lasts exactly four games?

This happens if A wins in 4 games of B wins in 4 games.

Probability of A winning in exactly four games:

In the first two games, A must win 2 of them. Also, A must win the fourth game. So, two independent events:

Event A: A wins two of the first three games.

Event B: A wins the fourth game.

P(A):

A wins any game with probability p. 3 games, so n = 3. We have to find P(A) = P(X = 2).

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(A) = P(X = 2) = C_{3,2}.p^{2}.(1-p)^{1} = 3p^{2}(1-p)

P(B):

The probability that A wins any game is p, so P(B) = p.

Probability that A wins in 4:

A and B are independent, so:

P(A4) = P(A)*P(B) = 3p^{2}(1-p)*p = 3p^{3}(1-p)

Probability of B winning in exactly four games:

In the first three games, A must win one and B must win 2. The fourth game must be won by 2. So

Event A: A wins one of the first three.

Event B: B wins the fourth game.

P(A)

P(X = 1).

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(A) = P(X = 1) = C_{3,1}.p^{1}.(1-p)^{2} = 3p(1-p)^{2}

P(B)

B wins each game with probability 1 - p, do P(B) = 1 - p.

Probability that B wins in 4:

A and B are independent, so:

P(B4) = P(A)*P(B) = 3p(1-p)^{2}*(1-p) = 3p(1-p)^{3}

Probability that the series lasts exactly four games:

p = P(A4) + P(B4) = 3p^{3}(1-p) + 3p(1-p)^{3} = 3p(1-p)(p^{2} + (1 - p)^{2})

The probability that the series lasts exactly four games is 3p(1-p)(p^{2} + (1 - p)^{2})

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