Answer:
The Probability that the product is shipped out is 0.7283
Step-by-step explanation:
Here, we are given that, a product passes through 6 tests before it is shipped out and a product is shipped out only if it passes all the first 3 tests and at least 1 of the remaining 3 tests.
We have P(pass)= 0.9, is the Probability of passing any test.
Which implies, P(fail)= 1- 0.9= 0.1
We have to find the Probability that the product is shipped out.
P(product is shipped out) = P(it passes first 3 tests )*P(passes at least 1 of the remaining 3 tests) •••••••••••(i)
We can take the product as the tests are Independent.
Now, let us obtain
P(it passes first 3 tests ) = P(pass)*P(pass)*P(pass)
=P(pass)]^3 = (0.9)^3 = 0.729
Hence, P( it passes first 3 tests)= 0.729 •••••••(ii)
Now,
P(passes at least 1 of the remaining 3 tests)
= 1-P(fails all the 3 remaining tests)
= 1-(0.1)^3 = 1 - 0.001 = 0.999
Hence,
P(passes atleast 1 of the remaining 3 tests)=0.999 ••••••••(iii)
Now, substituting the 2nd and 3rd equations in the first equation, we have;
P(product is shipped out) = P(it passes first 3 tests )*P(passes at least 1 of the remaining 3 tests)
= (0.729)*(0.999)
= 0.728271
= 0.7283
