Answer:
0.0179 = 1.79% probability that the mean of this sample is less than 15.99 ounces of water.
Step-by-step explanation:
To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.
Normal probability distribution
When the distribution is normal, we use the z-score formula.
In a set with mean
and standard deviation
, the zscore of a measure X is given by:
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D)
The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean
and standard deviation
, the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean
and standard deviation
.
For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.
In this question, we have that:
![\mu = 16.15, \sigma = 0.45, n = 35, s = \frac{0.45}{\sqrt{35}} = 0.0761](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Cmu%20%3D%2016.15%2C%20%5Csigma%20%3D%200.45%2C%20n%20%3D%2035%2C%20s%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B0.45%7D%7B%5Csqrt%7B35%7D%7D%20%3D%200.0761)
What is the probability that the mean of this sample is less than 15.99 ounces of water?
This is the pvalue of Z when X = 15.99. So
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D)
By the Central Limit Theorem
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7Bs%7D)
![Z = \frac{15.99 - 16.15}{0.0761}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B15.99%20-%2016.15%7D%7B0.0761%7D)
![Z = -2.1](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20-2.1)
has a pvalue of 0.0179
0.0179 = 1.79% probability that the mean of this sample is less than 15.99 ounces of water.