The Ericsson method is one of several methods claimed to increase the likelihood of a baby girl. In a clinical trial, results c
ould be analyzed with a formal hypothesis test with the alternative hypothesis of pgreater than0.5,which corresponds to the claim that the method increases the likelihood of having a girl, so that the proportion of girls is greater than 0.5. If you have an interest in establishing the success of the method, which of the following P-values would you prefer: 0.999, 0.5, 0.95, 0.05, 0.01, 0.001? Why?
Here, the aim is to support the null hypothesis, Ha. Where Ha: p > 0.5. Which means we are to reject null hypothesis H0. Where H0: p = 0.5.
The higher the pvalue, the higher the evidence of success. We know If the pvalue is less than level of significance, the null hypothesis H0 is rejected.
Hence the smallest possible value 0.001 is preferred as the pvalue because it corresponds to the sample evidence that most strongly supports the alternative hypothesis that the method is effective
