It is a very interesting question - the technology is real and the research on eDNA published in a journal in 2017.
eDNA stands for enviornmental DMA sampling. It allows scientist to test water samples for the presence of the DNA of the invasive fish species. It is more effective than traditional methods of sampling because it does not require trapping or sighting of the invasive species. Water samples can be collected anywhere any time and the DNA results are as accurate and detailed as collected from the invasive species themselves. It provides a complete picture of what invasive species are there.
Uh...that it will have the same genetic makeup as the plant it came from? or that it's asexual? dont really know what u need here.
It is possible that the theoretical probability is 30%, and the coin is unfair, based off the numbers.