Question

The city has an average of 13 days of rainfall for April.

Answer 1

Using the Poisson distribution, we have that:

• There is a 0.0859 = 8.59% probability of having exactly 10 days of precipitation in the month of April.

• There is a 0.00022 = 0.022% probability of having less than three days of precipitation in the month of April.

• There is a 0.2364 = 23.64% probability of having more than 15 days of precipitation in the month of April.

What is the Poisson distribution?

In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by:

$P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}\mu^{x}}{(x)!}$

The parameters are:

• x is the number of successes

• e = 2.71828 is the Euler number

• $\mu$ is the mean in the given interval.

For this problem, the mean is given as follows:

$\mu = 13$

The probability of having exactly 10 days of precipitation in the month of April is P(X = 10), hence:

$P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}\mu^{x}}{(x)!}$

$P(X = 10) = \frac{e^{-13}13^{10}}{(10)!} = 0.0859$

There is a 0.0859 = 8.59% probability of having exactly 10 days of precipitation in the month of April.

The probability of having less than three days of precipitation in the month of April is:

P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)

In which:

$P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\mu}\mu^{x}}{(x)!}$

$P(X = 0) = \frac{e^{-13}13^{0}}{(0)!} \ approx 0$

$P(X = 1) = \frac{e^{-13}13^{1}}{(1)!} = 0.00003$

$P(X = 2) = \frac{e^{-13}13^{2}}{(2)!} = 0.00019$

Then:

P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = 0 + 0.00003 + 0.00019 = 0.00022

There is a 0.00022 = 0.022% probability of having less than three days of precipitation in the month of April.

For more than 15 days, the probability is:

P(X > 15) = P(X = 16) + P(X = 17) + ... + P(X = 20)

Applying the formula for each of these values and adding them, we have that P(X > 15) = 0.2364, hence:

There is a 0.2364 = 23.64% probability of having more than 15 days of precipitation in the month of April.

More can be learned about the Poisson distribution at brainly.com/question/13971530

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