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neonofarm [45]
3 years ago
6

A new test has been developed to detect a particular type of cancer. The test must be evaluated before it is put into use. A med

ical researcher selects a random sample of 1,000 adults and finds (by other means) that 4% have this type of cancer. Each of the 1,000 adults is given the new test, and it is found that the test indicates cancer in 99% of those who have it and in 1% of those who do not.
a) Based on these results, what is the probability of a randomly chosen person having cancer given that the test indicates cancer?
b) What is the probability of a person having cancer given that the test does not indicate cancer?

Mathematics
1 answer:
Troyanec [42]3 years ago
7 0
The tree diagram of the problem above is attached
There are four outcomes of the two events,

First test - Cancer, Second Test - Cancer, the probability is 0.0396
First test - Cancer, Second Test - No Cancer, the probability is 0.0004
First test -  No Cancer, Second Test - There is cancer, the probability is 0.0096
First test - No cancer, Second Test - No cancer, the probability is 0.9054

The probability of someone picked at random has cancer given that test result indicates cancer is  \frac{0.0396}{0.0396+0.0096}= \frac{33}{41}

The probability of someone picked at random has cancer given that test result indicates no cancer is \frac{0.0396}{0.0004+0.9504} = \frac{99}{2377}

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Decide whether the normal sampling distribution can be used. If it can be​ used, test the claim about the population proportion
soldi70 [24.7K]

Answer:

np=25*0.11=2.75 < 10

n(1-p)=25*(1-0.11)=22.25 > 10

Th second condition is satisfied but the first one on this case it's not satisfied. So for this case it's not good apply the normal approximation to the distribution of p.

Step-by-step explanation:

We need to check the conditions in order to use the normal approximation.

np=25*0.11=2.75 < 10

n(1-p)=25*(1-0.11)=22.25 > 10

Th second condition is satisfied but the first one on this case it's not satisfied. So for this case it's not good apply the normal approximation to the distribution of p.

If we have both conditions satisfied the general procedure is the following:

Data given and notation

n=23 represent the random sample taken

\hat p=0.08 estimated proportion

p_o=0.11 is the value that we want to test

\alpha=0.1 represent the significance level

Confidence=90% or 0.90

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)

p_v represent the p value (variable of interest)  

Concepts and formulas to use  

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that the true proportion is less than 0.11.:  

Null hypothesis:p \geq 0.11  

Alternative hypothesis:p < 0.11  

When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statistic, and the is given by:  

z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{\frac{p_o (1-p_o)}{n}}} (1)  

The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion \hat p is significantly different from a hypothesized value p_o.

Calculate the statistic  

On this case since the normal approximation it's not satisfid it's not correct calculate the statistic.

Statistical decision  

It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.  

The significance level provided \alpha=0.1. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.  

Since is a left tailed test the p value would be:  

p_v =P(z  

And if the p_v we reject the null hypothesis. Otherwise w fail to the reject the null hypothesis.

5 0
3 years ago
HELP ASAP PLEASE thanks youu
BlackZzzverrR [31]

Answer: Probably A

Step-by-step explanation: You need to use a ruler for this, because without one its impossible to get it exact

Using the ruler though, you'd measure each side of the wall and either use a ratio of 0.5in:4ft or multiply every 0.5in by 4ft.

6 0
3 years ago
How much would $125 invested at 8% interest compounded continuously be worth after 16 years? Round your answer to the nearest ce
lidiya [134]

Answer:

D.

Step-by-step explanation:

Just did it. hope it helps!

3 0
3 years ago
Alicia earns $9.00 per hour working T a part-time job. She wants to earn more than $180 this week. How many hours does Alicia ha
Helga [31]
20 hours times $9 is $180. She would have to work over 20 hours to earn more than $180.

I would say 21 hours.
6 0
4 years ago
Read 2 more answers
Subtract. Show complete procedure.<br><br> 4m - 3<br> 3m + 1 <br> -----------
Yanka [14]

<u>Answer:</u>

  • <u>m - 2</u>

<u>Step-by step explanation:</u>

  • 4m - 3  - 3m + 1
  • => 4m - 3m - 3 + 1
  • => m - 2

<u>Conclusion:</u>

Therefore, 4m - 3  - 3m + 1 equals <u>m - 2.</u>

Hoped this helped.

BrainiacUser1357

7 0
2 years ago
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