Elaine is taking a test that has multiple choice questions,each with 4 answer choices. She comes to a question for which she doe
s not know the awnser. If she can rule out three of the choices as wrong, by how much does she improve her probability of guessing correct awnser?
1 answer:
Assuming There is ONLY ONE CORRECT ANSWER,
The probability of her guessing the answer without ruling out the choices is 1/5.
if 3 choices are ruled out, then 1 out of the remaining two is right, which gives the probability 1/2
now, 1/5 = 20% , while 1/2 = 50%.
Therefore her probability of getting the correct answer improves by 30% [ not much in a REAL test though :P ]
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