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Naya [18.7K]
4 years ago
8

USA Today reported that approximately 25% of all state prison inmates released on parole become repeat offenders while on parole

. Suppose the parole board is examining five prisoners up for parole. Let x = number of prisoners out of five on parole who become repeat offenders. x 0 1 2 3 4 5 P(x) 0.211 0.378 0.216 0.162 0.032 0.001 (a) Find the probability that one or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) How does this number relate to the probability that none of the parolees will be repeat offenders? This is the complement of the probability of no repeat offenders. These probabilities are not related to each other. This is twice the probability of no repeat offenders. This is five times the probability of no repeat offenders. These probabilities are the same. (b) Find the probability that two or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) (c) Find the probability that four or more of the five parolees will be repeat offenders. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) (d) Compute μ, the expected number of repeat offenders out of five. (Round your answer to three decimal places.) μ = prisoners (e) Compute σ, the standard deviation of the number of repeat offenders out of five. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) σ = prisoners
Mathematics
1 answer:
GaryK [48]4 years ago
3 0

Answer:

a) 0.789, this is the complement of the probability of no repeat offenders; b) 0.411; c) 0.033; d) μ = 1.429; e) σ = 9.58

Step-by-step explanation:

For part a,

The probability that no parolees are repeat offenders is 0.211.  This means the probability of at least one is a repeat offender is the complement of this event.  To find this probability, subtract from 1:

1-0.211 = 0.789.

For part b,

To find the probability that 2 or more are repeat offenders, add together the probability that 2, 3, 4 or 5 parolees are repeat offenders:

0.216+0.162+0.032+0.001 = 0.411.

For part c,

To find the probability that 4 or more are repeat offenders, add together the probabilities that 4 or 5 parolees are repeat offenders:

0.032+0.001 = 0.033.

For part d,

To find the mean, we multiply each number of parolees by their probability and add them together:

0(0.211)+1(0.378)+2(0.216)+3(0.162)+4(0.032)+5(0.001)

= 0 + 0.378 + 0.432 + 0.486 + 0.128 + 0.005 = 1.429

For part e,

To find the mean, we first subtract each number of parolees and the mean to find the amount of deviation.  We then square it and multiply it by its probability.  Then we add these values together and find the square root.

First the differences between each value and the mean:

0-1.429 = -1.429;

1-1.429 = -0.429;

2-1.429 = 0.571;

3-1.429 = 1.571;

4-1.429 = 2.571;

5-1.429 = 3.571

Next the differences squared:

(-1.429)^2 = 2.0420

(-0.429)^2 = 0.1840

(0.571)^2 = 0.3260

(1.571)^2 = 2.4680

(2.571)^2 = 6.6100

(3.571)^2 = 12.7520

Next the squares multiplied by the probabilities:

0(2.0420) = 0

1(0.1840) = 0.1840

2(0.3260) = 0.652

3(2.4680) = 7.404

4(6.6100) = 26.44

5(12.7520) = 63.76

Next the sum of these products:

0+0.1840+0.652+0.7404+26.44+63.76 = 91.7764

Lastly the square root:

√(91.7764) = 9.58

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Step-by-step explanation:

As the problem tells us, the velocity of the reaction is proportional to the product of the quantities of A and B that have not reacted, so from this we get the next equation:

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where [A] represents the remaining amount of A, and [B] represents the remaining amount of B. To solve this equation we have to represent it through a differential equation, which is:

                                              dx/dt = k[α - a(t)][β - b(t)]         (1)

where,

k: velocity constant

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b(t): quantity of B consumed in instant t

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β: initial quantity of B

Now we need to define the equations for a(t) and b(t), and for this we are going to use the law of conservation of mass by Lavoisier, with which we can say that the quantity of C in a certain instant is equal to the sum of the quantities of A and B that have reacted. Therefore, if we need M grams of A and N grams of B to form a quantity of M+N of C, then we can say that in a certain time, the consumed quantities of A and B are given by the following equations:

                                       a(t) = ( M/M+N) · x(t)

                                       b(t) = (N/M+N) · x(t)

where,

x(t): quantity of C in instant t

So for this problem we have that for 1 gram of B, 2 grams of A are used, therefore the previous equations can be represented as:

                                       a(t) = (2/2+1) · x(t) = 2/3 x(t)

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Now we proceed to resolve the differential equation (1) by substituting values:

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                                        dx/dt = k[40 - 2x/3][50 - x/3]

                                         dx/dt = k/9 [120 - 2x][150 - x]

We use the separation of variables method:

                                      dx/[120-2x][150-x] = k/3 · dt

We integrate both sides of the equation:

                                     ∫dx/(120-2x)(150-x) = ∫kdt/9

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Now, to integrate the left side of the equation we need to use the partial fraction decomposition:

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Now that we have the values of C and k, we have this equation:

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and we have to clear by x, obtaining:

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Therefore the quantity of C that will be formed in 10 minutes is:

           x(10) = 150 · (1 - e^{226·10^{-4}(10)} / 1 - 2.5e^{226·10^{-4}(10)})

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