Answer:
a) 0.1558 = 15.58% probability of finding 4 cars with the defect in a random sample of 7000 cars.
b) 0.1557 = 15.57% probability of finding 4 cars with the defect in a random sample of 7000 cars. These probabilities are very close, which means that the approximation works.
Step-by-step explanation:
Binomial distribution:
The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.
In which is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.
And p is the probability of X happening.
Poisson distribution:
In a Poisson distribution, the probability that X represents the number of successes of a random variable is given by the following formula:
In which
x is the number of sucesses
e = 2.71828 is the Euler number
is the mean in the given interval.
To use the Poisson approximation for the binomial, we have that:
1 in every 2500 automobiles produced has a particular manufacturing defect.
This means that
a) Use a binomial distribution to find the probability of finding 4 cars with the defect in a random sample of 7000 cars.
This is when . So
0.1558 = 15.58% probability of finding 4 cars with the defect in a random sample of 7000 cars.
(b) The Poisson distribution can be used to approximate the binomial distribution for large values of n and small values of p.
Using the approximation:
. So
0.1557 = 15.57% probability of finding 4 cars with the defect in a random sample of 7000 cars. These probabilities are very close, which means that the approximation works.