Consider a firm handling concessions for a sporting event. The firm’s manager needs to know whether to stock up with coffee or col
a and is formulating policies for specific weather predictions. A local agreement restricts the firm to selling only one type of beverage. The firm estimates a $1500 profit selling cola if the weather is cold and a $5000 profit selling cola if the weather is warm. The firm also estimates a $4000 profit selling coffee if it is cold and a $1000 profit selling coffee if the weather is warm. The weather forecast says that there is a 30% of a cold front; otherwise, the weather will be warm. Build a decision tree to assist with the decision. What should the firm handling concessions do?
From the decision tree which is attached, and the calculations above, it would be advised that the firm should focus on Cola, since it has a higher expected revenue of $3950, compared to the expected revenue of $1900 for coffee.