#3

Assuming the incident of fires for individual reactors can be described by a Poisson distribution, what is the probability that

Maksim231197 [3]

Complete Question

The Brown's Ferry incident of 1975 focused national attention on the ever-present danger of fires breaking out in nuclear power plants. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has estimated that with present technology there will be on average, one fire for every 10 years for a reactor. Suppose that a certain state has two reactors on line in 2020 and they behave independently of one another. Assuming the incident of fires for individual reactors can be described by a Poisson distribution, what is the probability that by 2030 at least two fires will have occurred at these reactors?

Answer:

The value is $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 )= 0.5940$

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that

The rate at which fire breaks out every 10 years is $\lambda = 1$

Generally the probability distribution function for Poisson distribution is mathematically represented as

$P(x) = \frac{\lambda^x}{ k! } * e^{-\lambda}$

Here x represent the number of state which is 2 i.e $x_1 \ \ and \ \ x_2$

Generally the probability that by 2030 at least two fires will have occurred at these reactors is mathematically represented as

$P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - P(x_1 + x_2 \le 1 )$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - [P(x_1 + x_2 = 0 ) + P( x_1 + x_2 = 1 )]$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - [ P(x_1 = 0 , x_2 = 0 ) + P( x_1 = 0 , x_2 = 1 ) + P(x_1 , x_2 = 0)]$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - P(x_1 = 0)P(x_2 = 0 ) + P( x_1 = 0 ) P( x_2 = 1 )+ P(x_1 = 1 )P(x_2 = 0)$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - \{ [ \frac{1^0}{ 0! } * e^{-1}] * [[ \frac{1^0}{ 0! } * e^{-1}]] )+ ( [ \frac{1^1}{1! } * e^{-1}] * [[ \frac{1^1}{ 1! } * e^{-1}]] ) + ( [ \frac{1^1}{ 1! } * e^{-1}] * [[ \frac{1^0}{ 0! } * e^{-1}]]) \}$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 )= 1- [[0.3678 * 0.3679] + [0.3678 * 0.3679] + [0.3678 * 0.3679] ]$

$P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 )= 0.5940$

3 0

3 years ago

Help please! the graph below

Rom4ik [11]

Answer:

The constant of proportionality is basically just the slope, so the answer is 1/6.

Step-by-step explanation:

Count how many Y units it goes up to get the the black point from (0,0) (the origin). You go up 1 unit to go 6 units to the right meaning the slope is 1/6.

That is the rise over run technique and there are many others, such as point slope form, and y2-y1 over x2-x1.

Hope this helps!

3 0

3 years ago

Chapter 15 probability

denpristay [2]

What do you mean by that?

4 0

3 years ago

Which expression is equivalent to (4g3h2k4)3

RSB [31]

Answer: