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bonufazy [111]
2 years ago
9

The Census Bureau's Current Population Survey shows that 28% of individuals, ages 25 and older, have completed four years of col

lege. For a sample of 15 individuals, ages 25 and older, what is the probability that five will have completed four years of college?
Mathematics
1 answer:
gizmo_the_mogwai [7]2 years ago
5 0

Answer:

19.35% probability that five will have completed four years of college

Step-by-step explanation:

For each individual chosen, there are only two possible outcomes. Either they have completed fourr years of college, or they have not. The probability of an adult completing four years of college is independent of any other adult. So the binomial probability distribution is used to solve this question.

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

In which C_{n,x} is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}

And p is the probability of X happening.

28% of individuals

This means that p = 0.25

For a sample of 15 individuals, ages 25 and older, what is the probability that five will have completed four years of college?

This is P(X = 5) when n = 15. So

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(X = 5) = C_{15,5}.(0.28)^{5}.(0.72)^{10} = 0.1935

19.35% probability that five will have completed four years of college

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A company surveyed 2400 men where 1248 of the men identified themselves as the primary grocery shopper in their household. ​a) E
polet [3.4K]

Answer:

a) With a confidence level of 98%, the percentage of all males who identify themselves as the primary grocery shopper are between 0.4962 and 0.5438.

b) The lower limit of the confidence interval is higher that 0.43, so if he conduct a hypothesis test, he will find that the data shows evidence to said that the fraction is higher than 43%.

c) \alpha =1-0.98=0.02

Step-by-step explanation:

If np' and n(1-p') are higher than 5, a confidence interval for the proportion is calculated as:

p'-z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{p'(1-p')}{n} }\leq  p\leq p'+z_{\alpha/2}\sqrt{\frac{p'(1-p')}{n} }

Where p' is the proportion of the sample, n is the size of the sample, p is the proportion of the population and z_{\alpha/2} is the z-value that let a probability of \alpha/2 on the right tail.

Then, a 98% confidence interval for the percentage of all males who identify themselves as the primary grocery shopper can be calculated replacing p' by 0.52, n by 2400, \alpha by 0.02 and z_{\alpha/2} by 2.33

Where p' and \alpha are calculated as:

p' = \frac{1248}{2400}=0.52\\\alpha =1-0.98=0.02

So, replacing the values we get:

0.52-2.33\sqrt{\frac{0.52(1-0.52)}{2400} }\leq  p\leq 0.52+2.33\sqrt{\frac{0.52(1-0.52)}{2400} }\\0.52-0.0238\leq p\leq 0.52+0.0238\\0.4962\leq p\leq 0.5438

With a confidence level of 98%, the percentage of all males who identify themselves as the primary grocery shopper are between 0.4962 and 0.5438.

The lower limit of the confidence interval is higher that 0.43, so if he conduct a hypothesis test, he will find that the data shows evidence to said that the fraction is higher than 43%.

Finally, the level of significance is the probability to reject the null hypothesis given that the null hypothesis is true. It is also the complement of the level of confidence. So, if we create a 98% confidence interval, the level of confidence 1-\alpha is equal to 98%

It means the the level of significance \alpha is:

\alpha =1-0.98=0.02

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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