Answer:
The 95% confidence interval for those opposed is: (0.298, 0.334).
Step-by-step explanation:
In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of
, and a confidence level of
, we have the following confidence interval of proportions.
![\pi \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Cpi%20%5Cpm%20z%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B%5Cpi%281-%5Cpi%29%7D%7Bn%7D%7D)
In which
z is the zscore that has a pvalue of
.
For this problem, we have that:
1786 of the 2611 were in favor, so 2611 - 1786 = 825 were opposed. Then
![n = 2611, \pi = \frac{825}{2611} = 0.316](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=n%20%3D%202611%2C%20%5Cpi%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B825%7D%7B2611%7D%20%3D%200.316)
95% confidence level
So
, z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of
, so
.
The lower limit of this interval is:
![\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.316 - 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.316*0.684}{2611}} = 0.298](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Cpi%20-%20z%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B%5Cpi%281-%5Cpi%29%7D%7Bn%7D%7D%20%3D%200.316%20-%201.96%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B0.316%2A0.684%7D%7B2611%7D%7D%20%3D%200.298)
The upper limit of this interval is:
![\pi + z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.316 + 1.96\sqrt{\frac{0.316*0.684}{2611}} = 0.334](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Cpi%20%2B%20z%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B%5Cpi%281-%5Cpi%29%7D%7Bn%7D%7D%20%3D%200.316%20%2B%201.96%5Csqrt%7B%5Cfrac%7B0.316%2A0.684%7D%7B2611%7D%7D%20%3D%200.334)
The 95% confidence interval for those opposed is: (0.298, 0.334).