A public opinion poll was administered to 50 people before the election of President Barack Obama. Polls taken before election n
ight showed 50% of the people polled believed Barack Obama would be elected president. After the election results, the same people were asked if they believed Barack Obama would be elected president, and this time 75% of the people said yes. This may be an example of ________ bias. a. transient
b. hindsight
c. egocentric
d. stereotypical
Hindsight bias: In psychology, the term hindsight bias demonstrates the propensity of a person to over evaluate his or her ability to predict a specific outcome that is considered as difficult to be predicted. It makes a person to believe that an event is easy to predict even they are not in reality. Memory distortion can occur because of hindsight bias.
Example: A man predicted that it is going to rain today but it didn't rain and then he claims that I knew the opposite is going to happen.
In the question above, the given statement may be an example of hindsight bias.
