Answer:
The level L such that there is probability only 0.01 that the mean glucose level of 6 test results falls above L is L = 127.1 mg/dl.
Step-by-step explanation:
To solve this problem, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.
Normal probability distribution
Problems of normally distributed samples are solved using the z-score formula.
In a set with mean
and standard deviation
, the zscore of a measure X is given by:
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D)
The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.
Central limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a random variable X, with mean
and standard deviation
, a large sample size can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean
and standard deviation ![\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Cfrac%7B%5Csigma%7D%7B%5Csqrt%7Bn%7D%7D)
In this problem, we have that:
![\mu = 117, \sigma = 10.6, n = 6, s = \frac{10.6}{\sqrt{6}} = 4.33](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%5Cmu%20%3D%20117%2C%20%5Csigma%20%3D%2010.6%2C%20n%20%3D%206%2C%20s%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B10.6%7D%7B%5Csqrt%7B6%7D%7D%20%3D%204.33)
What is the level L such that there is probability only 0.01 that the mean glucose level of 6 test results falls above L ?
This is the value of X when Z has a pvalue of 1-0.01 = 0.99. So X when Z = 2.33.
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7B%5Csigma%7D)
By the Central Limit Theorem
![Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=Z%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20%5Cmu%7D%7Bs%7D)
![2.33 = \frac{X - 117}{4.33}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=2.33%20%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BX%20-%20117%7D%7B4.33%7D)
![X - 117 = 2.33*4.33](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=X%20-%20117%20%3D%202.33%2A4.33)
![X = 127.1](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=X%20%3D%20127.1)
The level L such that there is probability only 0.01 that the mean glucose level of 6 test results falls above L is L = 127.1 mg/dl.