Please help me. I don't understand it. Graph sketch eliminate and identify
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Answer:
The forecast for November is 235 if August's forecast was 145.
Step-by-step explanation:
The formula for calculating forecast using exponential smoothing is:
Where Ft = New month forecast
Ft-1 = Previous month forecast
At-1 = Previous month actual value
α = smoothing constant
We are given F₈ = 145 (forecast for August), A₈ = 200 (Actual Value for August), α = 2, and we need to compute the forecast for November. So, We will first calculate the forecast for September then October and then November, step-by-step.
So, forecast for September is:
F₉ = F₈ + α (A₈ - F₈)
= 145 + 2*(200-145)
= 145 + 2*55
F₉ = 255
Then, forecast for October is:
F₁₀ = F₉ + α (A₉ - F₉)
= 255 + 2*(220-255)
= 255 + 2*(-35)
F₁₀ = 185
The forecast for November is:
F₁₁ = F₁₀ + α (A₁₀ - F₁₀)
= 185 + 2*(210 - 185)
F₁₁ = 235