We can only look up the value in the normal distribution table if the probability of z is LESS than a certain value AND the value is positive. If the probability of z is MORE than the value, then you need to do 1 minus the probability. I.e. 1 - 0.93699 [0.93699 is found in the normal distribution table, searching for 1.53] However, since the value (-1.53) is also negative, you need to do 1 minus AGAIN. I.e. 1 - 0.93699
Since you have to do both, the answer should be obtained as follows: 1 - (1 - 0.93699) = 0.93699
Sorry for the terrible explanation :/ And apologies if anything is incorrect. Hope this helped though!
This would be a binomial model, since there is a fixed number of trials, the probabilities are independent and there are only two choices (either the shot is made or missed).
