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kicyunya [14]
3 years ago
14

A random sample of 10 shipments of stick-on labels showed the following order sizes. 12,000 18,000 30,000 60,000 14,000 10,500 5

2,000 14,000 15,700 19,000 Click here for the Excel Data File (a) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the true mean order size. (Round your standard deviation answer to 1 decimal place and t-value to 3 decimal places. Round your answers to the nearest whole number.) The 95% confidence interval to
Mathematics
1 answer:
alexandr1967 [171]3 years ago
6 0

Answer:

(a) 95% confidence interval for the true mean order size =  [ 11972.22 , 37067.80 ]

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given a random sample of 10 shipments of stick-on labels with following order sizes;

12,000, 18,000, 30,000, 60,000, 14,000, 10,500, 52,000, 14,000, 15,700, 19,000

Firstly, Sample mean, Xbar = \frac{\sum  X}{n}

  = \frac{12,000+ 18,000+ 30,000 +60,000+ 14,000+ 10,500+ 52,000+ 14,000 +15,700+ 19,000}{10} = 24520

Sample standard deviation, s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (X-Xbar)^{2} }{n-1} } = 17541.81

The pivotal quantity for confidence interval is given by;

            P.Q. = \frac{Xbar - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } } ~ t_n_-_1

So, the 95% confidence interval for true mean order size is given by;

P(-2.262 < t_9 < 2.262) = 0.95

P(-2.262 < \frac{Xbar - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } } < 2.262) = 0.95

P(-2.262 * \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } < Xbar - \mu < 2.262 * \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } ) = 0.95

P(Xbar - 2.262 * \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } < \mu < Xbar + 2.262 * \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } ) = 0.95

95% confidence interval for \mu = [ Xbar - 2.262 * \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } , Xbar + 2.262 * \frac{s}{\sqrt{n} } ]

                                           = [ 24520 - 2.262*\frac{17541.81}{\sqrt{10} } ,  24520 - 2.262*\frac{17541.81}{\sqrt{10} } ]

                                           = [ 11972.22 , 37067.80 ]

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a) \bar X=144.3

b) The 95% confidence interval would be given by (138.846;149.754)      

c) n=34

d) n=298

e) n=1190

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

We can calculate the sample mean with this formula:

\bar X = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^n x_i}{n}

\bar X=144.3 represent the sample mean  

\mu population mean (variable of interest)

\sigma=8.8 represent the population standard deviation

n=10 represent the sample size  

a) Find a point estimate of the population mean

We can calculate the sample mean with this formula:

\bar X = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^n x_i}{n}

\bar X=144.3

b) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the true mean score for this population.

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:

\bar X \pm z_{\alpha/2}\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}   (1)

Since the Confidence is 0.95 or 95%, the value of \alpha=0.05 and \alpha/2 =0.025, and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-NORM.INV(0.025,0,1)".And we see that t_{\alpha/2}=1.96

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):

144.3-1.96\frac{8.8}{\sqrt{10}}=138.846    

144.3+1.96\frac{8.8}{\sqrt{10}}=149.754

So on this case the 95% confidence interval would be given by (138.846;149.754)    

Part c

The margin of error is given by this formula:

ME=z_{\alpha/2}\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}    (a)

And on this case we have that ME =+20 and we are interested in order to find the value of n, if we solve n from equation (a) we got:

n=(\frac{z_{\alpha/2} \sigma}{ME})^2   (b)

The critical value for 95% of confidence interval now can be founded using the normal distribution. And in excel we can use this formla to find it:"=-NORM.INV(0.025;0;1)", and we got z_{\alpha/2}=1.960, replacing into formula (5) we got:

n=(\frac{1.960(8.8)}{3})^2 =33.05 \approx 34

So the answer for this case would be n=34 rounded up to the nearest integer

Part d

n=(\frac{1.960(8.8)}{1})^2 =297.493 \approx 298

So the answer for this case would be n=298 rounded up to the nearest integer

Part e

n=(\frac{1.960(8.8)}{0.5})^2 =1189.97 \approx 1190

So the answer for this case would be n=1190 rounded up to the nearest integer

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