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noname [10]
3 years ago
9

Find the difference.

Mathematics
2 answers:
Sonja [21]3 years ago
8 0
I guess 2.5 because of it -2.5 from the beginning
Arte-miy333 [17]3 years ago
3 0

Answer:

2.5

Step-by-step explanation:

Since -5 is smaller than -2.5, the answer will be positive. To make life a little easier, you can simply just do 5 - 2.5 and get 2.5.

Hope this helped :)

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Answer:

a) 0.0885 = 8.85% probability that the mean annual return on common stocks over the next 40 years will exceed 13%.

b) 0.4129 = 41.29% probability that the mean return will be less than 8%

Step-by-step explanation:

To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.

Normal Probability Distribution:

Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean \mu and standard deviation \sigma, the z-score of a measure X is given by:

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the p-value, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean \mu and standard deviation \sigma, the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean \mu and standard deviation s = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}.

For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.

Mean 8.7% and standard deviation 20.2%.

This means that \mu = 8.7, \sigma = 20.2

40 years:

This means that n = 40, s = \frac{20.2}{\sqrt{40}}

(a) What is the probability (assuming that the past pattern of variation continues) that the mean annual return on common stocks over the next 40 years will exceed 13%?

This is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 13. So

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

By the Central Limit Theorem

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}

Z = \frac{13 - 8.7}{\frac{20.2}{\sqrt{40}}}

Z = 1.35

Z = 1.35 has a pvalue of 0.9115

1 - 0.9115 = 0.0885

0.0885 = 8.85% probability that the mean annual return on common stocks over the next 40 years will exceed 13%.

(b) What is the probability that the mean return will be less than 8%?

This is the pvalue of Z when X = 8. So

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{s}

Z = \frac{8 - 8.7}{\frac{20.2}{\sqrt{40}}}

Z = -0.22

Z = -0.22 has a pvalue of 0.4129

0.4129 = 41.29% probability that the mean return will be less than 8%

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