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Scorpion4ik [409]
3 years ago
14

A box contains a yellow ball, an orange ball, a green ball, and a blue ball. Billy randomly selects 4 balls from the box (with r

eplacement). What is the expected value for the number of distinct colored balls Billy will select?
Mathematics
1 answer:
algol [13]3 years ago
5 0

Answer:

Expected = 0.09375

Step-by-step explanation:

Given

Balls = 4

n = 4 --- selection

Required

The expected distinct colored balls

The probability of selecting one of the 4 balls is:

P = \frac{1}{4}

The probability of selecting different balls in each selection is:

Pr = (\frac{1}{4})^n

Substitute 4 for n

Pr = (\frac{1}{4})^4

Pr = \frac{1}{256}

The number of arrangement of the 4 balls is:

Arrangement = 4!

So, we have:

Arrangement = 4*3*2*1

Arrangement = 24

The expected number of distinct color is:

Expected = Arrangement * Pr

Expected =  24 * \frac{1}{256}

Expected =  \frac{3}{32}

Expected = 0.09375

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Using conditional probability, it is found that there is a 0.1165 = 11.65% probability that a person with the flu is a person who received a flu shot.

Conditional Probability

P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}

In which

  • P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened.
  • P(A \cap B) is the probability of both A and B happening.
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In this problem:

  • Event A: Person has the flu.
  • Event B: Person got the flu shot.

The percentages associated with getting the flu are:

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Hence:

P(A) = 0.2(0.3) + 0.65(0.7) = 0.515

The probability of both having the flu and getting the shot is:

P(A \cap B) = 0.2(0.3) = 0.06

Hence, the conditional probability is:

P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.06}{0.515} = 0.1165

0.1165 = 11.65% probability that a person with the flu is a person who received a flu shot.

To learn more about conditional probability, you can take a look at brainly.com/question/14398287

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Step-by-step explanation:


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