Essentially, one person might argue that he has a better chance because he has more room to land the ball in the red, but others might argue that it has no true effect. I believe it increases his chances of winning because of the ability to land the ball in the red.
There appears to be a very loose negative correlation between the data.
The screenshot is attached of the graph. The data does not form a very tight line, so it is not a strong correlation, but it does appear to generally decrease.