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Lelu [443]
2 years ago
11

An AP news service story, printed in the Gainesville Sun on May 20, 1979, states the following with regard to debris from Skylab

striking someone on the ground: "The odds are 1 in 150 that a piece of Skylab will hit someone. But 4 billion people ... live in the zone in which pieces could fall. So any one person’s chances of being struck are one in 150 times 4 billion—or one in 600 billion." Do you see any inaccuracies in this reasoning?
Mathematics
1 answer:
blondinia [14]2 years ago
5 0

Answer:

  • The odds are one in approximately 27 million.
  • Not one in 600 billion

Step-by-step explanation:

From the news story, we are told that:

The odds are 1 in 150 that a piece of Skylab will hit someone.

However, 4 billion people live in the zone in which pieces could fall.

Therefore, any one person’s chances of being struck are:

=\dfrac{1}{150} \times 4$ billion\\=\dfrac{1}{37.5}$ billion\\\\=26,666,667 million

Therefore, the odds are one in approximately 27 million.

The inaccuracy presented in this reasoning was that the odds are one in 600 billion.

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