Answer:
30% chance the reason I say that is because he only has 1 kiwi and for the most part he would choose the Kiwi first don't quote me on that just trying to help
I got 18x+9=y
--------- (divide)
9
if you want I can show you how I got that and if its wrong im sorry but that's the best simplified answer I got for y.
1 and 127/495
You can check the picture for work.