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kumpel [21]
3 years ago
11

Assume the random variable X has a binomial distribution with the given probability of obtaining a success. Find the following p

robability, given the number of trials and the probability of obtaining a success. Round your answer to four decimal places. P(X<3), n=6, p=0.3 calculator
Mathematics
1 answer:
aev [14]3 years ago
5 0

Answer:

P(X < 3) = 0.7443

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given that the random variable X has a binomial distribution with the given probability of obtaining a success. Also, given n = 6, p = 0.3.

The above situation can be represented through Binomial distribution;

P(X=r) = \binom{n}{r}p^{r} (1-p)^{n-r} ; x = 0,1,2,3,.....

where, n = number of trials (samples) taken = 6

            r = number of success = less than 3

           p = probability of success which in our question is 0.3.

LET X = a random variable

So, it means X ~ Binom(n=6, p=0.3)

Now, Probability that X is less than 3 = P(X < 3)

P(X < 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)

             = \binom{6}{0}0.3^{0} (1-0.3)^{6-0}+ \binom{6}{1}0.3^{1} (1-0.3)^{6-1}+ \binom{6}{2}0.3^{2} (1-0.3)^{6-2}

             = 1 \times 1 \times 0.7^{6}  +6 \times 0.3^{1}  \times 0.7^{5}  +15 \times 0.3^{2}  \times 0.7^{4}

             = 0.11765 + 0.30253 + 0.32414 = 0.7443

Therefore, P(X < 3) = 0.7443.

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Using conditional probability, it is found that there is a 0.1165 = 11.65% probability that a person with the flu is a person who received a flu shot.

Conditional Probability

P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}

In which

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In this problem:

  • Event A: Person has the flu.
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The percentages associated with getting the flu are:

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Hence:

P(A) = 0.2(0.3) + 0.65(0.7) = 0.515

The probability of both having the flu and getting the shot is:

P(A \cap B) = 0.2(0.3) = 0.06

Hence, the conditional probability is:

P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.06}{0.515} = 0.1165

0.1165 = 11.65% probability that a person with the flu is a person who received a flu shot.

To learn more about conditional probability, you can take a look at brainly.com/question/14398287

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