Answer:
A student is chosen at random and is found to be a girl, the probability that the student scored an A is 0.5865 or 58.65%
Step-by-step explanation:
Given : A class consists of 55% boys and 45% girls. It is observed that 25% of the class are boys and scored an A on the test, and 35% of the class are girls and scored an A on the test.
To find : If a student is chosen at random and is found to be a girl, the probability that the student scored an A is ?
Solution :
Let B be event to choose boys and G be event to choose girls.
Let E be event to scored grade A.
We have given,
P(B)=55%=0.55
P(G)=45%=0.45
25% of the class are boys and scored an A on the test
![P(E/B)=\dfrac{P(E\cap B)}{P(B)}=\frac{0.25}{0.55}=0.45](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28E%2FB%29%3D%5Cdfrac%7BP%28E%5Ccap%20B%29%7D%7BP%28B%29%7D%3D%5Cfrac%7B0.25%7D%7B0.55%7D%3D0.45)
35% of the class are girls and scored an A on the test
![P(E/G)=\dfrac{P(E\cap G)}{P(B)}=\frac{0.35}{0.45}=0.78](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28E%2FG%29%3D%5Cdfrac%7BP%28E%5Ccap%20G%29%7D%7BP%28B%29%7D%3D%5Cfrac%7B0.35%7D%7B0.45%7D%3D0.78)
Using Baye's Theorem of probability
If a student is chosen at random and is found to be a girl, the probability that the student scored an A.
![P(G/E)=\dfrac{P(E/G)\times P(G)}{P(E/G)\times P(G)+P(E/B)\times P(B)}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28G%2FE%29%3D%5Cdfrac%7BP%28E%2FG%29%5Ctimes%20P%28G%29%7D%7BP%28E%2FG%29%5Ctimes%20P%28G%29%2BP%28E%2FB%29%5Ctimes%20P%28B%29%7D)
![P(G/E)=\dfrac{0.78\times 0.45}{0.78\times 0.45+0.45\times 0.55}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28G%2FE%29%3D%5Cdfrac%7B0.78%5Ctimes%200.45%7D%7B0.78%5Ctimes%200.45%2B0.45%5Ctimes%200.55%7D)
![P(G/E)=0.5865](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28G%2FE%29%3D0.5865)
![P(G/E)=58.65\%](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28G%2FE%29%3D58.65%5C%25)
Therefore, A student is chosen at random and is found to be a girl, the probability that the student scored an A is 0.5865 or 58.65%