Answer:
p ( x > 2746 ) = p ( z > - 1.4552 )
= 1 - 0.072806
= 0.9272
This shows that there is > 92% of a republican candidate winning the election hence I will advice Gallup to declare the Republican candidate winner
Step-by-step explanation:
Given data:
51% of male voters preferred a Republican candidate
sample size = 5490
To win the vote one needs ≈ 2746 votes
In order to advice Gallup appropriately lets consider this as a binomial distribution
n = 5490
p = 0.51
q = 1 - 0.51 = 0.49
Hence > 5 while
< 5
we will consider it as a normal distribution
From the question :
number of male voters who prefer republican candidate ( mean ) ( u )
= 0.51 * 5490 = 2799.9
std = =
= 37.0399 ---- ( 1 )
determine the Z-score = (x - u ) / std ---- ( 2 )
x = 2746 , u = 2799.9 , std = 37.0399
hence Z - score = - 1.4552
hence
p ( x > 2746 ) = p ( z > - 1.4552 )
= 1 - 0.072806
= 0.9272
This shows that there is > 92% of a republican candidate winning the election hence I will advice Gallup to declare the Republican candidate winner