Answer:
(a) 0.343
(b) 0.657
(c) 0.189
(d) 0.216
(e) 0.353
Step-by-step explanation:
Let P(a vehicle passing the test) = p
Let P(a vehicle not passing the test) = q
q = 1 - p
q = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3
(a) P(all of the next three vehicles inspected pass) = P(ppp)
= 0.7 × 0.7 × 0.7
= 0.343
(b) P(at least one of the next three inspected fails) = P(qpp or qqp or pqp or pqq or ppq or qpq or qqq)
= (0.3 × 0.7 × 0.7) + (0.3 × 0.3 × 0.7) + (0.7 × 0.3 × 0.7) + (0.7 × 0.3 × 0.3) + (0.7 × 0.7 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.7 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.3 × 0.3)
= 0.147 + 0.063 + 0.147 + 0.063 + 0.147 + 0.063 + 0.027
= 0.657
(c) P(exactly one of the next three inspected passes) = P(pqq or qpq or qqp)
= (0.7 × 0.3 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.7 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.3 × 0.7)
= 0.063 + 0.063 + 0.063
= 0.189
(d) P(at most one of the next three vehicles inspected passes) = P(pqq or qpq or qqp or qqq)
= (0.7 × 0.3 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.7 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.3 × 0.7) + (0.3 × 0.3 × 0.3)
= 0.063 + 0.063 + 0.063 + 0.027
= 0.216
(e) Given that at least one of the next 3 vehicles passes inspection, what is the probability that all 3 pass (a conditional probability)?
P(at least one of the next three vehicles inspected passes) = P(ppp or ppq or pqp or qpp or pqq or qpq or qqp)
= (0.7 × 0.7 × 0.7) + (0.7 × 0.7 × 0.3) + (0.7 × 0.3 × 0.7) + (0.3 × 0.7 × 0.7) + (0.7 × 0.3 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.7 × 0.3) + (0.3 × 0.3 × 0.7)
= 0.343 + 0.147 + 0.147 + 0.147 + 0.063 + 0.063 + 0.063
= 0.973
With the condition that at least one of the next 3 vehicles passes inspection, the probability that all 3 pass is,
![= \frac{P(all\ of\ the\ next\ three\ vehicles\ inspected\ pass)}{P(at\ least\ one\ of\ the\ next\ three\ vehicles\ inspected\ passes)}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%3D%20%5Cfrac%7BP%28all%5C%20of%5C%20the%5C%20next%5C%20three%5C%20vehicles%5C%20inspected%5C%20pass%29%7D%7BP%28at%5C%20least%5C%20one%5C%20of%5C%20the%5C%20next%5C%20three%5C%20vehicles%5C%20inspected%5C%20passes%29%7D)
![= \frac{0.343}{0.973}](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%3D%20%5Cfrac%7B0.343%7D%7B0.973%7D)
= 0.353