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VikaD [51]
3 years ago
12

A recent survey estimated that 19 percent of all people living in a certain region regularly use sunscreen when going outdoors.

The margin of error for the estimate was 1 percentage point. Based on the estimate and the margin of error, which of the following is an appropriate conclusion?
(A) Approximately 1% of all the people living in the region were surveyed.
(B) Between 18% and 20% of all the people living in the region were surveyed.
(C) All possible samples of the same size will result in between 18% and 20% of those surveyed indicating they regularly use sunscreen.
(D) The probability is 0.01 that a person living in the region will use sunscreen when going outdoors.
(E) It is plausible that the percent of all people living in the region who regularly use sunscreen is 18.5%.
Mathematics
1 answer:
serg [7]3 years ago
5 0

The correct option is: (E) It is plausible that the percent of all people living in the region who regularly use sunscreen is 18.5%.

<u>Step-by-step explanation:</u>

The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error that occurred due to miscalculation and survey results. The margin error is usually a small amount of error.

Generally 5% of margin of error is common and acceptable. When the percentage of the margin of error increases, the confidence in the report result will be reduced.

The recent survey reveals that 19% of the people living in a certain region regularly use sunscreen when going outdoors. The permissible margin of error in this survey is 1%.

Probably the percentage of people using sunscreen in the particular region will be <u>18.5%. </u>

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Suppose the number of children in a household has a binomial distribution with parameters n=12n=12 and p=50p=50%. Find the proba
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Answer:

a) 20.95% probability of a household having 2 or 5 children.

b) 7.29% probability of a household having 3 or fewer children.

c) 19.37% probability of a household having 8 or more children.

d) 19.37% probability of a household having fewer than 5 children.

e) 92.71% probability of a household having more than 3 children.

Step-by-step explanation:

Binomial probability distribution

The binomial probability is the probability of exactly x successes on n repeated trials, and X can only have two outcomes.

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

In which C_{n,x} is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

C_{n,x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}

And p is the probability of X happening.

In this problem, we have that:

n = 12, p = 0.5

(a) 2 or 5 children

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(X = 2) = C_{12,2}.(0.5)^{2}.(0.5)^{10} = 0.0161

P(X = 5) = C_{12,5}.(0.5)^{5}.(0.5)^{7} = 0.1934

p = P(X = 2) + P(X = 5) = 0.0161 + 0.1934 = 0.2095

20.95% probability of a household having 2 or 5 children.

(b) 3 or fewer children

P(X \leq 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3)

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(X = 0) = C_{12,0}.(0.5)^{0}.(0.5)^{12} = 0.0002

P(X = 1) = C_{12,1}.(0.5)^{1}.(0.5)^{11} = 0.0029

P(X = 2) = C_{12,2}.(0.5)^{2}.(0.5)^{10} = 0.0161

P(X = 3) = C_{12,3}.(0.5)^{3}.(0.5)^{9} = 0.0537

P(X \leq 3) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) = 0.0002 + 0.0029 + 0.0161 + 0.0537 = 0.0729

7.29% probability of a household having 3 or fewer children.

(c) 8 or more children

P(X \geq 8) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10) + P(X = 11) + P(X = 12)

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(X = 8) = C_{12,8}.(0.5)^{8}.(0.5)^{4} = 0.1208

P(X = 9) = C_{12,9}.(0.5)^{9}.(0.5)^{3} = 0.0537

P(X = 10) = C_{12,10}.(0.5)^{10}.(0.5)^{2} = 0.0161

P(X = 11) = C_{12,11}.(0.5)^{11}.(0.5)^{1} = 0.0029

P(X = 12) = C_{12,12}.(0.5)^{12}.(0.5)^{0} = 0.0002

P(X \geq 8) = P(X = 8) + P(X = 9) + P(X = 10) + P(X = 11) + P(X = 12) = 0.1208 + 0.0537 + 0.0161 + 0.0029 + 0.0002 = 0.1937

19.37% probability of a household having 8 or more children.

(d) fewer than 5 children

P(X < 5) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)

P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}

P(X = 0) = C_{12,0}.(0.5)^{0}.(0.5)^{12} = 0.0002

P(X = 1) = C_{12,1}.(0.5)^{1}.(0.5)^{11} = 0.0029

P(X = 2) = C_{12,2}.(0.5)^{2}.(0.5)^{10} = 0.0161

P(X = 3) = C_{12,3}.(0.5)^{3}.(0.5)^{9} = 0.0537

P(X = 4) = C_{12,4}.(0.5)^{4}.(0.5)^{8} = 0.1208

P(X < 5) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4) = 0.0002 + 0.0029 + 0.0161 + 0.0537 + 0.1208 = 0.1937

19.37% probability of a household having fewer than 5 children.

(e) more than 3 children

Either a household has 3 or fewer children, or it has more than 3. The sum of these probabilities is 100%.

From b)

7.29% probability of a household having 3 or fewer children.

p + 7.29 = 100

p = 92.71

92.71% probability of a household having more than 3 children.

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