The probability Pedro's shot will score in a lacrosse game is 0.30 and the probability his shot will not score in a lacrosse game is 1-0.30=0.70. So you can count probabilities for all cases:
1. 0.3·0.3=0.09;
2. 0.3·0.7=0.21;
3. 0.7·0.3=0.21;
4. 0.7·0.7=0.49.
In total 0.09+0.21+0.21+0.49=1. The first outcomes is that what you need.
Survey of dog owners in the area in which he lives. Finding the data specifically for the interested population is the best way here. only dog owners would be surveyed and choosing an area or radius in which he lives world work.