Question

If current trends continue, China may be the world's largest economy by 2030. In a concise and well-noted statement, discuss the possible implicators for a) the world's trading system, b) the world's monetary and currency exchange systems, and c) global commodity systems.

Answer 1

Answer:

If by 2030 China became, as current data estimates, the world's largest economy, this would mean a series of global changes in macroeconomic matters: A) for the world trade system, China would become the main exporter given its huge population (estimated at 1.6 billion people) added to its economic capacity, which would flood the world markets with manufactured products in this country, increasing the fiscal surplus and employment for its inhabitants; furthermore, it would relegate many nations to being secondary producers; B) the monetary system would watch the emergence of the Renmimbi as a new reference currency, displacing the dollar and the euro from the center of the scene; C) Commodity prices would be determined according to the consumption and production needs of China, with which the products demanded in this country will have high value.