There are a total of 12 marbles so you will start with a denominator of 12. The P(black) = 3/12 = 1/4 Since the marble was NOT replaced there are now only 11 marbles in the bag. The denominator will now be 11. The P(red) = 4/11 Now we multiply these two probabilities (1/4)(4/11) = 1/11 chance of drawing a black and then a red.