The Brown's Ferry incident of 1975 focused national attention on the ever-present danger of fires breaking out in nuclear power plants. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has estimated that with present technology there will be on average, one fire for every 10 years for a reactor. Suppose that a certain state has two reactors on line in 2020 and they behave independently of one another. Assuming the incident of fires for individual reactors can be described by a Poisson distribution, what is the probability that by 2030 at least two fires will have occurred at these reactors?

Answer:

The value is $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 )= 0.5940$

Step-by-step explanation:

From the question we are told that

The rate at which fire breaks out every 10 years is $\lambda = 1$

Generally the probability distribution function for Poisson distribution is mathematically represented as

$P(x) = \frac{\lambda^x}{ k! } * e^{-\lambda}$

Here x represent the number of state which is 2 i.e $x_1 \ \ and \ \ x_2$

Generally the probability that by 2030 at least two fires will have occurred at these reactors is mathematically represented as

$P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - P(x_1 + x_2 \le 1 )$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - [P(x_1 + x_2 = 0 ) + P( x_1 + x_2 = 1 )]$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - [ P(x_1 = 0 , x_2 = 0 ) + P( x_1 = 0 , x_2 = 1 ) + P(x_1 , x_2 = 0)]$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - P(x_1 = 0)P(x_2 = 0 ) + P( x_1 = 0 ) P( x_2 = 1 )+ P(x_1 = 1 )P(x_2 = 0)$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 ) = 1 - \{ [ \frac{1^0}{ 0! } * e^{-1}] * [[ \frac{1^0}{ 0! } * e^{-1}]] )+ ( [ \frac{1^1}{1! } * e^{-1}] * [[ \frac{1^1}{ 1! } * e^{-1}]] ) + ( [ \frac{1^1}{ 1! } * e^{-1}] * [[ \frac{1^0}{ 0! } * e^{-1}]]) \}$

=> $P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 )= 1- [[0.3678 * 0.3679] + [0.3678 * 0.3679] + [0.3678 * 0.3679] ]$

$P(x_1 + x_2 \ge 2 )= 0.5940$

3 0

2 years ago

Please help asap asap

Gwar [14]

Answer:

It will not taste the same bc there is too much oj.

Step-by-step explanation:

The recipe is saying that for every 4 cups of pineapple juice you put in, you must put in 5 cups of orange juice. That means if you put 8 cups of pineapple juice, you need 10 cups of orange juice, and if you have 12 cups of pineapple juice, you need 15 cups of oj. Obviously, 15 is less than 20. You are using too much oj, and because of this, it will not taste the same.

5 0

2 years ago

Read 2 more answers

PLZ HELP ASAP IM TIMED THX<br><br> FIND AREA

s2008m [1.1K]

Answer: B

Step-by-step explanation:

I used heron's formula.

3 0

2 years ago