Question

Mandy, a true believer in astrology, reads in her horoscope that today is her lucky day. She gets so excited that she spills coffee all over herself, necessitating a change of clothes. As a result, she is late for work and for a very important meeting, which in turn gets her into serious trouble with her boss. That evening, her brother is taken to the emergency room. On her way to visit him, Mandy finds a dime in the hospital parking lot. What does research on the confirmation bias suggest that Mandy will do

Answer 1

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Mandy, a true believer in astrology, reads in her horoscope that today is her lucky day. She gets so excited that she spills coffee all over herself, necessitating a change of clothes. As a result, she is late for work and for a very important meeting, which in turn gets her into serious trouble with her boss. That evening, her brother is taken to the emergency room. On her way to visit him, Mandy finds a dime in the hospital parking lot. What does research on the confirmation bias suggest that Mandy will do?

A) Mandy will renounce astrology as completely wrong because of all the horrible things that happened on her "lucky day."

B) Mandy will begin to question her belief in astrology because of all the horrible things that happened on her "lucky day."

C) Mandy will forget finding the dime because of the all the horrible things that happened to her.

D) Mandy will seize on the dime she found as evidence of astrology’s accuracy.

Answer:

D) Mandy will seize on the dime she found as evidence of astrology’s accuracy.

Explanation:

In psychology, confirmation bias refers to our tendency to look for things and signs that will confirm what we already believe in. According to research in this area, we are biased in our beliefs and tend to ignore any information that may challenge them. As a result, our judgment will be degraded. Mandy will most likely, according to confirmation bias, ignore all of the bad things that took place after she read her horoscope. She will pay attention, however, to the one tiny event that somehow confirms her belief. She will seize on the dime she found as evidence of astrology's accuracy.