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MatroZZZ [7]
3 years ago
13

Which of the following SRS designs will give the most precision (smallest standard error) for estimating a population mean? Assu

me that each population has the same value of the population variance S^2?
1) An SRS of size 400 from a population of size 4000
2) An SRS of size 30 from a population of size 300
3) An SRS of size 3000 from a population of size 300,000,000
Mathematics
1 answer:
Serjik [45]3 years ago
7 0

Answer:

Design 3: An SRS of size 3000 from a population of size 300,000,000

Step-by-step explanation:

To check the SRS designs will give the most precision (smallest standard error) for estimating a population mean, we'll make use of the following formula:

V(y) = S²/n( 1 - n/N)

Where S² is a constant for the three SRS designs

Check the first design

n = 400

N = 4000

So, V(y) = S²/400 (1 - 400/4000)

V(y) = S²/400(1 - 0.1)

V(y) = 0.0025S²(0.9)

V(y) = 0.00225S²

V(y) = 2.25S²E-3

The second design

n = 30

N = 300

So, V(y) = S²/30 (1 - 30/300)

V(y) = S²/30(1 - 0.1)

V(y) = S²/30(0.9)

V(y) = 0.03S²

V(y) = 3S²E-2

The third design

n = 3,000

N = 300,000,000

So, V(y) = S²/3,000 (1 - 3,000/300,000,000)

V(y) = S²/3,000(1 - 0.00001)

V(y) = S²/3,000(0.99999)

V(y) = 0.00033333

V(y) = 3.33S²E-4

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An article in The Engineer (Redesign for Suspect Wiring," June 1990) reported the results of an investigation into wiring errors
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Answer:

a) The 99% confidence interval on the proportion of aircraft that have such wiring errors is (0.0005, 0.0095).

b) A sample of 408 is required.

c) A sample of 20465 is required.

Step-by-step explanation:

Question a:

In a sample with a number n of people surveyed with a probability of a success of \pi, and a confidence level of 1-\alpha, we have the following confidence interval of proportions.

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Of 1600 randomly selected aircraft, eight were found to have wiring errors that could display incorrect information to the flight crew.

This means that n = 1600, \pi = \frac{8}{1600} = 0.005

99% confidence level

So \alpha = 0.01, z is the value of Z that has a pvalue of 1 - \frac{0.01}{2} = 0.995, so Z = 2.575.

The lower limit of this interval is:

\pi - z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}} = 0.005 - 2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.005*0.995}{1600}} = 0.0005

The upper limit of this interval is:

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The 99% confidence interval on the proportion of aircraft that have such wiring errors is (0.0005, 0.0095).

b. Suppose we use the information in this example to provide a preliminary estimate of p. How large a sample would be required to produce an estimate of p that we are 99% confident differs from the true value by at most 0.009?

The margin of error is of:

M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}

A sample of n is required, and n is found for M = 0.009. So

M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}

0.009 = 2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.005*0.995}{n}}

0.009\sqrt{n} = 2.575\sqrt{0.005*0.995}

\sqrt{n} = \frac{2.575\sqrt{0.005*0.995}}{0.009}

(\sqrt{n})^2 = (\frac{2.575\sqrt{0.005*0.995}}{0.009})^2

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Rounding up:

A sample of 408 is required.

c. Suppose we did not have a preliminary estimate of p. How large a sample would be required if we wanted to be at least 99% confident that the sample proportion differs from the true proportion by at most 0.009 regardless of the true value of p?

Since we have no estimate, we use \pi = 0.5

M = z\sqrt{\frac{\pi(1-\pi)}{n}}

0.009 = 2.575\sqrt{\frac{0.5*0.5}{n}}

0.009\sqrt{n} = 2.575*0.5

\sqrt{n} = \frac{2.575*0.5}{0.009}

(\sqrt{n})^2 = (\frac{2.575*0.5}{0.009})^2

n = 20464.9

Rounding up:

A sample of 20465 is required.

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