Answer:
(a) P (X = 0) = 0.0498.
(b) P (X > 5) = 0.084.
(c) P (X = 3) = 0.09.
(d) P (X ≤ 1) = 0.5578
Step-by-step explanation:
Let <em>X</em> = number of telephone calls.
The average number of calls per minute is, <em>λ</em> = 3.0.
The random variable <em>X</em> follows a Poisson distribution with parameter <em>λ</em> = 3.0.
The probability mass function of a Poisson distribution is:
![P(X=x)=\frac{e^{-\lambda}\lambda^{x}}{x!};\ x=0,1,2,3...](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28X%3Dx%29%3D%5Cfrac%7Be%5E%7B-%5Clambda%7D%5Clambda%5E%7Bx%7D%7D%7Bx%21%7D%3B%5C%20x%3D0%2C1%2C2%2C3...)
(a)
Compute the probability of <em>X</em> = 0 as follows:
![P(X=0)=\frac{e^{-3}3^{0}}{0!}=\frac{0.0498\times1}{1}=0.0498](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=P%28X%3D0%29%3D%5Cfrac%7Be%5E%7B-3%7D3%5E%7B0%7D%7D%7B0%21%7D%3D%5Cfrac%7B0.0498%5Ctimes1%7D%7B1%7D%3D0.0498)
Thus, the probability that there will be no calls during a one-minute interval is 0.0498.
(b)
If the operator is unable to handle the calls in any given minute, then this implies that the operator receives more than 5 calls in a minute.
Compute the probability of <em>X</em> > 5 as follows:
P (X > 5) = 1 - P (X ≤ 5)
![=1-\sum\limits^{5}_{x=0} { \frac{e^{-3}3^{x}}{x!}} \,\\=1-(0.0498+0.1494+0.2240+0.2240+0.1680+0.1008)\\=1-0.9160\\=0.084](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%3D1-%5Csum%5Climits%5E%7B5%7D_%7Bx%3D0%7D%20%7B%20%5Cfrac%7Be%5E%7B-3%7D3%5E%7Bx%7D%7D%7Bx%21%7D%7D%20%5C%2C%5C%5C%3D1-%280.0498%2B0.1494%2B0.2240%2B0.2240%2B0.1680%2B0.1008%29%5C%5C%3D1-0.9160%5C%5C%3D0.084)
Thus, the probability that the operator will be unable to handle the calls in any one-minute period is 0.084.
(c)
The average number of calls in two minutes is, 2 × 3 = 6.
Compute the value of <em>X</em> = 3 as follows:
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Thus, the probability that exactly three calls will arrive in a two-minute interval is 0.09.
(d)
The average number of calls in 30 seconds is, 3 ÷ 2 = 1.5.
Compute the probability of <em>X</em> ≤ 1 as follows:
P (X ≤ 1 ) = P (X = 0) + P (X = 1)
![=\frac{e^{-1.5}1.5^{0}}{0!}+\frac{e^{-1.5}1.5^{1}}{1!}\\=0.2231+0.3347\\=0.5578](https://tex.z-dn.net/?f=%3D%5Cfrac%7Be%5E%7B-1.5%7D1.5%5E%7B0%7D%7D%7B0%21%7D%2B%5Cfrac%7Be%5E%7B-1.5%7D1.5%5E%7B1%7D%7D%7B1%21%7D%5C%5C%3D0.2231%2B0.3347%5C%5C%3D0.5578)
Thus, the probability that one or fewer calls will arrive in a 30-second interval is 0.5578.