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kolbaska11 [484]
3 years ago
15

The lengths of pregnancies are normally distributed with a mean of days and a standard deviation of days. a. Find the probabilit

y of a pregnancy lasting days or longer. b. If the length of pregnancy is in the lowest ​%, then the baby is premature. Find the length that separates premature babies from those who are not premature.
Mathematics
1 answer:
Alik [6]3 years ago
8 0

Answer:

a) The probability of a pregnancy lasting X days or longer is given by 1 subtracted by the p-value of Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}, in which \mu is the mean and \sigma is the standard deviation.

b) We have to find X when Z has a p-value of \frac{a}{100}, and X is given by: X = \mu - Z\sigma, in which \mu is the mean and \sigma is the standard deviation.

Step-by-step explanation:

Normal Probability Distribution

Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean \mu and standard deviation \sigma, the z-score of a measure X is given by:

Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the p-value, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

In this question:

Mean \mu, standard deviation \sigma

a. Find the probability of a pregnancy lasting X days or longer.

The probability of a pregnancy lasting X days or longer is given by 1 subtracted by the p-value of Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}, in which \mu is the mean and \sigma is the standard deviation.

b. If the length of pregnancy is in the lowest a​%, then the baby is premature. Find the length that separates premature babies from those who are not premature.

We have to find X when Z has a p-value of \frac{a}{100}, and X is given by: X = \mu - Z\sigma, in which \mu is the mean and \sigma is the standard deviation.

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The following data were collected from 12 rain gauges in a park. Build a 95% CI for the mean rainfall at the park.
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Answer:

Critical values:t_{\alpha/2}=-2.201 t_{1-\alpha/2}=2.201

95% confidence interval would be given by (3.646;4.472)

Step-by-step explanation:

1) Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The data is:

4.65 3.89 2.73 4.35 3.80 4.86 4.33 4.37 4.76 4.05 3.05 3.87

2) Compute the sample mean and sample standard deviation.

In order to calculate the mean and the sample deviation we need to have on mind the following formulas:  

\bar X= \sum_{i=1}^n \frac{x_i}{n}

s=\sqrt{\frac{\sum_{i=1}^n (x_i-\bar X)}{n-1}}

=AVERAGE(4.65,3.89,2.73, 4.35, 3.8, 4.86, 4.33, 4.37, 4.76, 4.05, 3.05, 3.87)

On this case the average is \bar X= 4.059

=STDEV.S(4.65,3.89,2.73, 4.35, 3.8, 4.86, 4.33, 4.37, 4.76, 4.05, 3.05, 3.87)

The sample standard deviation obtained was s=0.6503

3) Find the critical value t* Use the formula for a CI to find upper and lower endpoints

In order to find the critical value we need to take in count that our sample size n =12 <30 and on this case we don't know about the population standard deviation, so on this case we need to use the t distribution. Since our interval is at 95% of confidence, our significance level would be given by \alpha=1-0.95=0.05 and \alpha/2 =0.025. The degrees of freedom are given by:

df=n-1=12-1=11

We can find the critical values in excel using the following formulas:

"=T.INV(0.025,11)" for t_{\alpha/2}=-2.201

"=T.INV(1-0.025,11)" for t_{1-\alpha/2}=2.201

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:

\bar X \pm t_{\alpha/2}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}  

And we can use Excel to calculate the limits for the interval

Lower interval : "=4.059 -2.201*(0.6503/SQRT(12))" =3.646

Upper interval :  "=4.059 +2.201*(0.6503/SQRT(12))" =4.472

So the 95% confidence interval would be given by (3.646;4.472)

8 0
3 years ago
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