Al-Qaeda <span>chose its first American bombing targets if t</span>he targets were in Africa, which is not far from the Middle East. The second one is your answer. I hope this is the answer that you are looking for and it comes to your help.
B, do you have a tutoring option on your account?
Answer:
This flaw of thinking is called the HINDSIGHT bias.
Explanation:
<em>"We don't really know the result, but we think as though we do." </em>
The Hindsight bias, <em>creeping determinism</em>, or <em>knew-it-all-along phenomenon</em>, is the <u>assumption of an individual regarding an event that have already occurred as expected, as if he knew it even before the event took place</u>. This leads to the person believing they have a high sense of certainty of what the outcome would really be, even before the culminating of the event. This usually <u>results to </u><u>overconfidence or overestimation</u><u> in recalling the sequence of events before the predicted bias</u>.
<h3>There are 3 levels of hindsight bias </h3>
- Memory distortion - unable to recall the previous judgment (<em>"I said it would happen"</em>).
- Inevitability - the event must happen even with or without the circumstances (<em>“It had to happen”</em>).
- Foreseeability - that belief and confidence wherein results of the event were already anticipated, even way before the event culmination (<em>“I knew it would happen”</em>).