The statistical calculation that researchers use to predict the number of new marriages that will end in divorce is known asthe predictive divorcelogistic model.
The predictive divorcelogistic model is the most common method used in predicting divorce rate in which is the percentage of persons who married in a particular year would divorce at some time before death.
According to the National Center for Health Statistics, it was predicted that 43 percent of marriages normally end during the first 15 years of marriage.
Learn more about the predictive logistic model here: