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omeli [17]
3 years ago
6

All bags entering a research facility are screened. Ninety-seven percent of the bags that contain forbidden material trigger an

alarm. Fifteen percent of the bags that do not contain forbidden material also trigger the alarm. If 1 out of every 1,000bags entering the building contains forbidden material, what is the probabilitythat a bag that triggers the alarm will actually contain forbidden material?(a) 0.00097(b) 0.00640(c) 0.03000(d) 0.14550(e) 0.97000
Mathematics
1 answer:
Arte-miy333 [17]3 years ago
4 0

Answer:

(b) 0.00640

Step-by-step explanation:

Let

P(A|F) = The probability of bags that contain forbidden material trigger an alarm = 0.97 or 97%

P(A| not F)= The probability of bags that do not contain forbidden material also trigger the alarm= 0.15 or 15%

P(F) = the probability that a bag contain forbidden material = 0.001

P(not F) = the probability that a bag does not contain forbidden material = 0.999

Then P(A)= P(F) × P(A|F)  + P(not F)  × P(A| not F) = 0.001×0.97 + 0.999×0.15 = 0.15082

Then the probability that a bag that triggers the alarm will actually contain forbidden material =P(F|A)=\frac{P(F)*P(A|F)}{P(A)}

=\frac{0.001*0.97}{0.15064} ≈ 0.0064

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1)

n         1          2         3           4         5         6

f(n)    1033    932     831      730     629     528

First term (a₁):  <u>1033 </u>          Common difference (d): <u>-101 </u>

Explicit rule:  a_{n} = 1134 - 101n    Recursive rule: a_{n} = a_{n-1} - 101

a_{n} = a_{1} + d(n - 1)

a_{n} = 1033 - 101(n - 1)

a_{n} = 1033 - 101n + 101

a_{n} = 1134 - 101n

***********************************************************************************

2)

n         1          2         3           4         5         6

f(n)   -39      -29       -19        -9          9        19

First term (a₁):  <u> -39  </u>          Common difference (d): <u> +10  </u>

Explicit rule:  a_{n} = -49 + 10n    Recursive rule: a_{n} = a_{n-1} + 10

a_{n} = a_{1} + d(n - 1)

a_{n} = -39 + 10(n - 1)

a_{n} = -39 + 10n - 10

a_{n} = -49 + 10n

***********************************************************************************

3)

n         1          2         3           4         5         6

f(n)   3.75      2.5     1.25        0      -1.25     -2.5

First term (a₁):  <u> 3.75  </u>          Common difference (d): <u> -1.25  </u>

Explicit rule:  a_{n} = 5 - 1.25n    Recursive rule: a_{n} = a_{n-1} - 1.25

a_{n} = a_{1} + d(n - 1)

a_{n} = 3.75 - 1.25(n - 1)

a_{n} = 3.75 - 1.25n + 1.25

a_{n} = 5 - 1.25n


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