<span>Let's say in general you want "n" adjacent squares. Each one needs a top, so that's n toothpicks. Each one needs a bottom, so that's another n toothpicks, and we're up to 2n total. You need one on the far left, and one on the far right, which brings us up to 2n + 2 toothpicks. Now we need to worry about the middle ones. But notice that you don't need n toothpicks for the interior because adjacent squares share. It turns out that you only need n-1. That brings us up to a grand total of 3n + 1 toothpicks, which would be 301 for n = 100.
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There is no exact rule for lines of best fit. However, in general, there should be roughly the same amount above as below. So, if we are following this rule, there should be about 4 below as well.
