The fish population in a local stream is decreasing at a rate of 3% per year. The original population was 48,000. Write an expon
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Answer:
0.64%.
Step-by-step explanation:
To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.
Normal Probability Distribution:
Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.
In a set with mean and standard deviation
, the z-score of a measure X is given by:
The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the p-value, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean and standard deviation
, the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean
and standard deviation
.
For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.
Mean of 75 grams and a standard deviation of 22 grams.
This means that
Sample of 144:
This means that
More than 80 or less than 70:
Both are the same distance from the mean, so we find one probability and multiply by 2.
The probability that it is less than 70 is the pvalue of Z when X = 70. So
By the Central Limit Theorem
has a pvalue of 0.0032
2*0.0032 = 0.0064.
0.0064*100% = 0.64%
The probability is 0.64%.