For a smoothing constant of 0.2
Time period – 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Actual value – 46 55 39 42 63 54 55 61 52
Forecast – 58 55.6 55.48 52.18 50.15 52.72 52.97 53.38 54.90
Forecast error - -12 -.6 -16.48 – 10.12 12.85 1.28 2.03 7.62 -2.9
The mean square error is 84.12
The mean forecast for period 11 is 54.38
For a smoothing constant of 0.8
Time period – 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Actual value – 46 55 39 42 63 54 55 61 52
Forecast – 58 48.40 53.68 41.94 41.99 58.80 54.96 54.99 59.80
Forecast error - -12 6.60 -14.68 0.06 21.01 -4.80 0.04 6.01 -7.80The mean square error is 107.17
The mean forecast for period 11 is 53.56
Based on the MSE, smoothing constant of .2 offers a better model since the mean forecast is much better compared to the 53.56 of the smoothing constant of 0.8.
To find the percentage of any number you divide your percentage by 100 to get a decimal. 14 ÷ 100 =0.14 then in this case you need to find the number you want to find 14% of . Each reindeer harness is 17.95 so 17.95 * 9 = 161.55 so now you take 161.55 and multiply it by the decimal to get the percentage of 161.55 which equals 22.617 so now add the tax and the cost of the reindeer harnesses and you got your answer :)
Answer:
48
Step-by-step explanation:
24 ÷ v x k
24 ÷ 2 x 4
(Since it's multiplication and division, you just go from left to right in order)
12 x 4
48
Answer:
1032x176x67x890x30x6x8
1032×176×67×890×30×6×8x^6
1.56^13×x^6
