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Step2247 [10]
4 years ago
12

If Upper X overbar equals 62​, Upper S equals 8​, and n equals 36​, and assuming that the population is normally​ distributed, c

onstruct a 99 % confidence interval estimate of the population​ mean, mu.
Mathematics
1 answer:
marishachu [46]4 years ago
3 0

Answer:

The 99% confidence interval would be given by (58.373;65.627)    

We are 99% confident that the true mean for the variable of interest is between 58.373 and 65.627.

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

A confidence interval is "a range of values that’s likely to include a population value with a certain degree of confidence. It is often expressed a % whereby a population means lies between an upper and lower interval".

The margin of error is the range of values below and above the sample statistic in a confidence interval.

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

\bar X=62 represent the sample mean

\mu population mean (variable of interest)

s=8 represent the sample standard deviation

n=36 represent the sample size  

Part a: Confidence interval

The confidence interval for the mean is given by the following formula:

\bar X \pm t_{\alpha/2}\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}   (1)

In order to calculate the critical value t_{\alpha/2} we need to find first the degrees of freedom, given by:

df=n-1=36-1=35

Since the Confidence is 0.99 or 99%, the value of \alpha=0.01 and \alpha/2 =0.005, and we can use excel, a calculator or a table to find the critical value. The excel command would be: "=-T.INV(0.005,35)".And we see that t_{\alpha/2}=2.72

Now we have everything in order to replace into formula (1):

62-2.72\frac{8}{\sqrt{36}}=58.373    

62+2.72\frac{8}{\sqrt{36}}=65.627    

So on this case the 99% confidence interval would be given by (58.373;65.627)    

We are 99% confident that the true mean for the variable of interest is between 58.373 and 65.627.

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Suppose that the number of drivers who travel between a particular origin and destination during a designated time period has a
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Answer:

a) P(k≤11) = 0.021

b) P(k>23) = 0.213

c) P(11≤k≤23) = 0.777

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d) P(15<k<25)=0.687

Step-by-step explanation:

a) What is the probability that the number of drivers will be at most 11?

We have to calculate P(k≤11)

P(k\leq11)=\sum_0^{11} P(k

P(k=0) = 20^0e^{-20}/0!=1 \cdot 0.00000000206/1=0\\\\P(k=1) = 20^1e^{-20}/1!=20 \cdot 0.00000000206/1=0\\\\P(k=2) = 20^2e^{-20}/2!=400 \cdot 0.00000000206/2=0\\\\P(k=3) = 20^3e^{-20}/3!=8000 \cdot 0.00000000206/6=0\\\\P(k=4) = 20^4e^{-20}/4!=160000 \cdot 0.00000000206/24=0\\\\P(k=5) = 20^5e^{-20}/5!=3200000 \cdot 0.00000000206/120=0\\\\P(k=6) = 20^6e^{-20}/6!=64000000 \cdot 0.00000000206/720=0\\\\P(k=7) = 20^7e^{-20}/7!=1280000000 \cdot 0.00000000206/5040=0.001\\\\

P(k=8) = 20^8e^{-20}/8!=25600000000 \cdot 0.00000000206/40320=0.001\\\\P(k=9) = 20^9e^{-20}/9!=512000000000 \cdot 0.00000000206/362880=0.003\\\\P(k=10) = 20^{10}e^{-20}/10!=10240000000000 \cdot 0.00000000206/3628800=0.006\\\\P(k=11) = 20^{11}e^{-20}/11!=204800000000000 \cdot 0.00000000206/39916800=0.011\\\\

P(k\leq11)=\sum_0^{11} P(k

b) What is the probability that the number of drivers will exceed 23?

We can write this as:

P(k>23)=1-\sum_0^{23} P(k=x_i)=1-(P(k\leq11)+\sum_{12}^{23} P(k=x_i))

P(k=12) = 20^{12}e^{-20}/12!=8442485.238/479001600=0.018\\\\P(k=13) = 20^{13}e^{-20}/13!=168849704.75/6227020800=0.027\\\\P(k=14) = 20^{14}e^{-20}/14!=3376994095.003/87178291200=0.039\\\\P(k=15) = 20^{15}e^{-20}/15!=67539881900.067/1307674368000=0.052\\\\P(k=16) = 20^{16}e^{-20}/16!=1350797638001.33/20922789888000=0.065\\\\P(k=17) = 20^{17}e^{-20}/17!=27015952760026.7/355687428096000=0.076\\\\P(k=18) = 20^{18}e^{-20}/18!=540319055200533/6402373705728000=0.084\\\\

P(k=19) = 20^{19}e^{-20}/19!=10806381104010700/121645100408832000=0.089\\\\P(k=20) = 20^{20}e^{-20}/20!=216127622080213000/2432902008176640000=0.089\\\\P(k=21) = 20^{21}e^{-20}/21!=4322552441604270000/51090942171709400000=0.085\\\\P(k=22) = 20^{22}e^{-20}/22!=86451048832085300000/1.12400072777761E+21=0.077\\\\P(k=23) = 20^{23}e^{-20}/23!=1.72902097664171E+21/2.5852016738885E+22=0.067\\\\

P(k>23)=1-\sum_0^{23} P(k=x_i)=1-(P(k\leq11)+\sum_{12}^{23} P(k=x_i))\\\\P(k>23)=1-(0.021+0.766)=1-0.787=0.213

c) What is the probability that the number of drivers will be between 11 and 23, inclusive? What is the probability that the number of drivers will be strictly between 11 and 23?

Between 11 and 23 inclusive:

P(11\leq k\leq23)=P(x\leq23)-P(k\leq11)+P(k=11)\\\\P(11\leq k\leq23)=0.787-0.021+ 0.011=0.777

Between 11 and 23 exclusive:

P(11< k

d) What is the probability that the number of drivers will be within 2 standard deviations of the mean value?

The standard deviation is

\mu=\lambda =20\\\\\sigma=\sqrt{\lambda}=\sqrt{20}= 4.47

Then, we have to calculate the probability of between 15 and 25 drivers approximately.

P(15

P(k=16) = 20^{16}e^{-20}/16!=0.065\\\\P(k=17) = 20^{17}e^{-20}/17!=0.076\\\\P(k=18) = 20^{18}e^{-20}/18!=0.084\\\\P(k=19) = 20^{19}e^{-20}/19!=0.089\\\\P(k=20) = 20^{20}e^{-20}/20!=0.089\\\\P(k=21) = 20^{21}e^{-20}/21!=0.085\\\\P(k=22) = 20^{22}e^{-20}/22!=0.077\\\\P(k=23) = 20^{23}e^{-20}/23!=0.067\\\\P(k=24) = 20^{24}e^{-20}/24!=0.056\\\\

3 0
3 years ago
Find the size of each of the unknown angles. Help me plz​
saw5 [17]

Answer:

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