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3 years ago

8

Angel has 8 DVD movies on a shelf, 2 dramas,5 sicence fiction movies, and 1 comedy. Two movies will be selected at random. Deter

mine the probabilty of each situatuin below.
A) The probablity of selecting at least one drama movie without replacement

B)The probability of selecting at least one drama movie with replacement

1 answer:

mr Goodwill [35]3 years ago

8 0

Answer:

A) Pd = 13/28

B) Pd = 7/16

Step-by-step explanation:

Given;

Drama = 2

Comedy = 1

Science fiction = 5

Total = 8

a) The probability of selectingat least one drama movie Pd;

Pd = 1 - Pd'

Without replacement;

Probability of not selecting a drama movie Pd' is;

Pd' = 6/8 × 5/7 = 15/28

Pd = 1 - 15/28

Pd = 13/28

b) with replacement;

Probability of not selecting a drama movie Pd' is;

Pd' = 6/8 × 6/8 = 9/16

Pd = 1 - 9/16

Pd = 7/16

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Step-by-step explanation:

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In which $C_{n,x}$ is the number of different combinations of x objects from a set of n elements, given by the following formula.

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Problems of normally distributed samples can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean $\mu$ and standard deviation $\sigma$ , the zscore of a measure X is given by:

$Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}$

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

When we are approximating a binomial distribution to a normal one, we have that $\mu = E(X)$ , $\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)}$ .

In this problem, we have that:

$p = 0.71$

(a) For a sample of 16 Americans, what is the probability that at least 13 believe global warming is occurring?

Here $n = 16$ , we want $P(X \geq 13)$ . So

$P(X \geq 13) = P(X = 13) + P(X = 14) + P(X = 15) + P(X = 16)$

In which

$P(X = x) = C_{n,x}.p^{x}.(1-p)^{n-x}$

$P(X = 13) = C_{16,13}.(0.71)^{13}.(0.29)^{3} = 0.1591$

$P(X = 14) = C_{16,14}.(0.71)^{14}.(0.29)^{2} = 0.0835$

$P(X = 15) = C_{16,15}.(0.71)^{15}.(0.29)^{1} = 0.0273$

$P(X = 16) = C_{16,16}.(0.71)^{16}.(0.29)^{0} = 0.0042$

$P(X \geq 13) = P(X = 13) + P(X = 14) + P(X = 15) + P(X = 16) = 0.1591 + 0.0835 + 0.0273 + 0.0042 = 0.2741$

0.2741 = 27.41% probability that at least 13 believe global warming is occurring

(b) For a sample of 160 Americans, what is the probability that at least 110 believe global warming is occurring?

Now $n = 160$ . So

$\mu = E(X) = np = 160*0.71 = 113.6$

$\sigma = \sqrt{V(X)} = \sqrt{np(1-p)} = \sqrt{160*0.71*0.29} = 5.74$

Using continuity correction, this is $P(X \geq 110 - 0.5) = P(X \geq 109.5)$ , which is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 109.5. So

$Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}$

$Z = \frac{109.5 - 113.6}{5.74}$

$Z = -0.71$

$Z = -0.71$ has a pvalue of 0.2389

1 - 0.2389 = 0.7611

0.7611 = 76.11% probability that at least 110 believe global warming is occurring

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