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mr Goodwill [35]
3 years ago
14

Hermione thinks she has discovered a protection spell that will reduce the pain of the Cruciatus curse. She believes that a samp

le of people protected by her spell will rate their pain as less severe than the average person who does not have her protection spell. Her null hypothesis for this study would
Mathematics
1 answer:
Mila [183]3 years ago
8 0

Answer:

There will be no difference in pain ratings from people protected by her spell and people who aren't protected by her spell.

Step-by-step explanation:

The claim in this scenario is the alternative hypothesis, which is what we wish to test ; the alternative hypothesis is thus ; people who are protected by spell will rate their pain as a result of cruciatus curse as less severe than the average person who does not use her protection spell ;

As we know, the null hypothesis is the opposite of the alternative hypothesis and the initial truth, which is ;

The average pain felt by both the user of the pain protections spell and those who do not feel the same amount of pain.

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In a process that manufactures bearings, 90% of the bearings meet a thickness specification. A shipment contains 500 bearings. A
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Answer:

(a) 0.94

(b) 0.20

(c) 90.53%

Step-by-step explanation:

From a population (Bernoulli population), 90% of the bearings meet a thickness specification, let p_1 be the probability that a bearing meets the specification.

So, p_1=0.9

Sample size, n_1=500, is large.

Let X represent the number of acceptable bearing.

Convert this to a normal distribution,

Mean: \mu_1=n_1p_1=500\times0.9=450

Variance: \sigma_1^2=n_1p_1(1-p_1)=500\times0.9\times0.1=45

\Rightarrow \sigma_1 =\sqrt{45}=6.71

(a) A shipment is acceptable if at least 440 of the 500 bearings meet the specification.

So, X\geq 440.

Here, 440 is included, so, by using the continuity correction, take x=439.5 to compute z score for the normal distribution.

z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}=\frac{339.5-450}{6.71}=-1.56.

So, the probability that a given shipment is acceptable is

P(z\geq-1.56)=\int_{-1.56}^{\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{\frac{-z^2}{2}}=0.94062

Hence,  the probability that a given shipment is acceptable is 0.94.

(b) We have the probability of acceptability of one shipment 0.94, which is same for each shipment, so here the number of shipments is a Binomial population.

Denote the probability od acceptance of a shipment by p_2.

p_2=0.94

The total number of shipment, i.e sample size, n_2= 300

Here, the sample size is sufficiently large to approximate it as a normal distribution, for which mean, \mu_2, and variance, \sigma_2^2.

Mean: \mu_2=n_2p_2=300\times0.94=282

Variance: \sigma_2^2=n_2p_2(1-p_2)=300\times0.94(1-0.94)=16.92

\Rightarrow \sigma_2=\sqrt(16.92}=4.11.

In this case, X>285, so, by using the continuity correction, take x=285.5 to compute z score for the normal distribution.

z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}=\frac{285.5-282}{4.11}=0.85.

So, the probability that a given shipment is acceptable is

P(z\geq0.85)=\int_{0.85}^{\infty}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{\frac{-z^2}{2}=0.1977

Hence,  the probability that a given shipment is acceptable is 0.20.

(c) For the acceptance of 99% shipment of in the total shipment of 300 (sample size).

The area right to the z-score=0.99

and the area left to the z-score is 1-0.99=0.001.

For this value, the value of z-score is -3.09 (from the z-score table)

Let, \alpha be the required probability of acceptance of one shipment.

So,

-3.09=\frac{285.5-300\alpha}{\sqrt{300 \alpha(1-\alpha)}}

On solving

\alpha= 0.977896

Again, the probability of acceptance of one shipment, \alpha, depends on the probability of meeting the thickness specification of one bearing.

For this case,

The area right to the z-score=0.97790

and the area left to the z-score is 1-0.97790=0.0221.

The value of z-score is -2.01 (from the z-score table)

Let p be the probability that one bearing meets the specification. So

-2.01=\frac{439.5-500  p}{\sqrt{500 p(1-p)}}

On solving

p=0.9053

Hence, 90.53% of the bearings meet a thickness specification so that 99% of the shipments are acceptable.

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