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According to data released by FiveThirty Eight (data drawn on Monday, August 17th, 2020), Donald Trump wins an Electoral College

sineoko [7]

Answer:

a) P = 0.274925

b) required confidence interval = (0.2705589, 0.2793344)

c) FALSE

d) FALSE

e) TRUE

f) There is still probability that he would win. And it would be highly unusual if he wins assuming that the true population proportion is 0.274925.

Step-by-step explanation:

a)

PROBABILITY

since total number of simulations is 40,000 and and number of times Donald Trump wins an Electoral College majority in the 2020 US Presidential Election is 10,997

so the required Probability will be 10,997 divided by 40,000

P = 10997 / 40000 = 0.274925

b)

To get 95% confidence interval for the parameter in question a

(using R)

>prop.test(10997,40000)

OUTPUT

1 - Sample proportion test with continuity correction

data: 10997 out of 40000, null probability 0.5

x-squared = 8104.5, df = 1, p-value < 2.23-16

alternative hypothesis : true p ≠ 0.5

0.2705589 0.2793344

sample estimate

p

0.274925

∴ required confidence interval = (0.2705589, 0.2793344)

c)

FALSE

This is a wrong interpretation of a confidence interval. It indicates that there is 95% chance that the confidence interval you calculated contains the true proportion. This is because when you perform several times, 95% of those intervals would contain the true proportion but as the confidence intervals will vary so you can't say that the true proportion is in any interval with 95% probability.

d)

FALSE

Once again, this is a wrong interpretation of a confidence interval. The confidence interval tells us about the population parameter and not the sample statistic.

e)

TRUE

This is a correct interpretation of a confidence interval. It indicates that if we perform sampling with same sample size (40000) several times and calculate the 95% confidence interval of population proportion for each of them, then 95% of these confidence interval should contain the population parameter.

f)

The simulation results obtained doesn't always comply with the true population. Also, result of one simulation can't be taken for granted. We need several simulations to come to a conclusion. So, we can never ever guarantee based on a simulation result to say that Donald Trump 'Won't' or 'Shouldn't' win.

There is still probability that he would win. And it would be highly unusual if he wins assuming that the true population proportion is 0.274925.

5 0

3 years ago

What is the coefficient of x2y3 in the expansion of (2x + y)5?

Zigmanuir [339]

Option C:

The coefficient of $x^{2} y^{3}$ is 40.

Solution:

Given expression:

$(2 x+y)^{5}$

Using binomial theorem:

$(a+b)^{n}=\sum_{i=0}^{n}\left(\begin{array}{l}n \\i\end{array}\right) a^{(n-i)} b^{i}$

Here $a=2 x, b=y$

Substitute in the binomial formula, we get

$(2x+y)^5=\sum_{i=0}^{5}\left(\begin{array}{l}5 \\i\end{array}\right)(2 x)^{(5-i)} y^{i}$

Now to expand the summation, substitute i = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.

$$=\frac{5 !}{0 !(5-0) !}(2 x)^{5} y^{0}+\frac{5 !}{1 !(5-1) !}(2 x)^{4} y^{1}+\frac{5 !}{2 !(5-2) !}(2 x)^{3} y^{2}+\frac{5 !}{3 !(5-3) !}(2 x)^{2} y^{3}$

$$+\frac{5 !}{4 !(5-4) !}(2 x)^{1} y^{4}+\frac{5 !}{5 !(5-5) !}(2 x)^{0} y^{5}$

Let us solve the term one by one.

$$\frac{5 !}{0 !(5-0) !}(2 x)^{5} y^{0}=32 x^{5}$

$$\frac{5 !}{1 !(5-1) !}(2 x)^{4} y^{1} = 80 x^{4} y$

$$\frac{5 !}{2 !(5-2) !}(2 x)^{3} y^{2}= 80 x^{3} y^{2}$

$$\frac{5 !}{3 !(5-3) !}(2 x)^{2} y^{3}= 40 x^{2} y^{3}$

$$\frac{5 !}{4 !(5-4) !}(2 x)^{1} y^{4}= 10 x y^{4}$

$$\frac{5 !}{5 !(5-5) !}(2 x)^{0} y^{5}=y^{5}$

Substitute these into the above expansion.

$(2x+y)^5=32 x^{5}+80 x^{4} y+80 x^{3} y^{2}+40 x^{2} y^{3}+10 x y^{4}+y^{5}$

The coefficient of $x^{2} y^{3}$ is 40.

Option C is the correct answer.

5 0

2 years ago

How to write linear equations with no solution

goldfiish [28.3K]

Don’t..................

8 0

2 years ago

Write the slope intercept form of the equation of the line through the given points

garri49 [273]

Answer:

9) y = -3x - 4

10) y = -1/3x + 14/3

11) y = x - 1

12) y = -7/5x - 18/5

13) y = 3/5x + 9/5

14) y = -2x - 3

Step-by-step explanation:

For this explanation, let's use the last problem as the example. You would use the formula y=mx+b. The first thing you would need to find would be the slope, or m. So, you would find the slope and conclude the answer is -2. After that, you would solve for b and get the answer. Hope this helped!

4 0

3 years ago

Direct and Indirect Proportions

ivanzaharov [21]

Answer:

?

Step-by-step explanation:

5 0

3 years ago