Every Thursday, Matt and Dave's Video Venture has “roll-the-dice" day. A customer may choose to roll two fair dice and rent a se
cond movie for an amount (in cents) equal to the numbers uppermost on the dice, with the larger number first. For example, if the customer rolls a two and a four, a
second movie may be rented for $0.42. If a two and two are rolled, a second movie may be rented for $0.22. Let X represent the amount paid for a
second movie on roll-the-dice day. The expected value of X is $0.47 and the standard deviation of X is $0.15.
If a customer rolls the dice and rents a second movie every Thursday for 30 consecutive weeks, what is the approximate probability that the total
amount paid for these second movies will exceed $15.00?
I saw other questions for this but why is the standard deviation 0.15*sqrt of 30 and not 0.15*30 because I thought this is a linear transformation
Using the normal distribution, it is found that there is a 0.1357 = 13.57% probability that the total amount paid for these second movies will exceed $15.00.
In a <em>normal distribution</em> with mean and standard deviation, the z-score of a measure X is given by:
It measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean.
After finding the z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score, which is the percentile of X.
For n instances of a normal variable, the mean is and the standard error is
In this problem:
Mean of $0.47, standard deviation $0.15, hence
30 instances, hence
The probability is <u>1 subtracted by the p-value of Z when X = 15</u>, hence:
Considering the n instances:
has a p-value of 0.8643.
1 - 0.8643 = 0.1357.
0.1357 = 13.57% probability that the total amount paid for these second movies will exceed $15.00.